Why Are The Seattle Mariners’ Playoff Odds So Low?

Coming off a 6-2 road stint that saw the Seattle Mariners sweep three in Arlington, TX against the lowly Texas Rangers, lose two but salvage the final game in Houston, TX against the Houston Astros, and then take both games in Oakland against the Oakland A’s, the Mariners record stands at 69-58, 5.5 games out of first place in the AL West and 3 games out of the second wild card spot in the AL. And yet, the Mariners playoff odds, according to Fangraphs, stand at just 5.3%. Why is that? The projection system at Fangraphs is taking into account several factors. 

First, what “should” the Mariners

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