Economists pour cold water on recession talk after Canada’s economy stalls in Q1

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OTTAWA — Canada’s economy is still struggling to grow but some economists weighing in on the latest real gross domestic product results Friday argued that weakness may not qualify as a recession.

StatCan reported Friday that the economy stalled in the first quarter of the year.

While real GDP by expenditure was flat on a quarter-by-quarter basis, converting that to an annualized rate — the figure most economists pay close attention to — magnifies the quarterly changes and results in a decline of 0.1 per cent for the first quarter.

That follows a real GDP drop of one per cent in the fourth quarter of 2025, a figure StatCan

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